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Productivity peril

  • 30/10/2001

Degradation of soil and water resources is one of the major challenges for global agriculture. Climate change will further alter agricultural systems with substantial consequences for food production. The risk of reduced food yields is greatest in developing countries, where 790 million people are estimated to be undernourished at present.

In India, it is currently predicted that while overall rainfall may not experience a significant change, the temporal and spatial distribution may change. Central and northern parts of India may get less rainfall while the south-western parts may receive more. Irrigation will suffer if rainfall drops.

l According to the International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (iiasa), Austria, India stands to lose 125 million tonnes (or 18 per cent) of its rain fed cereal production potential . If agricultural production goes down, the price of staple food commodities will increase (see table : Plummeting production).

l According to a study by the World Bank, a 2

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