The UK has to live by its wits
On climate change
What is the role of science in political negotiations on climate change?
The distinction you make between science and politics is not one I adhere to. Good political decisions are made on the basis of the best advice given to governments, on the basis of proper analysis, which has to rest on science, technology, economics and social sciences. I don’t like to draw distinctions. When I give my prime minister my advice I try to take into account all factors.
What if Russia doesn’t ratify the Kyoto Protocol?
I believe there is only one game in town and that is Kyoto. Therefore, it is of the greatest importance to us that Russia signs up to the agreement. Any talk at the moment of alternatives, to me, is not a good idea because it simply encourages other parties to think that there is another game in town. Actually there is only one. It’s a very carefully thought-through process. It would be counterproductive for the European Union (eu), in my view, to be engaged in discussions about alternatives.
Should countries consider the protocol’s entry into force without Russia?
I will give you the same political answer: we shouldn’t even discuss that. At the moment the priority has to be to persuade Russia to join us.
For how long?
There has to be a limit and I would not want to discuss what the time span would be. But the importance of the original notion of a fixed percentage of countries within the developed world joining Kyoto is a good one and I don’t think we should abandon it. Quite the contrary, I am now looking very hard on behalf of the British government from the eu to not only persuade Russia to come on board, but also the us.
Discussions with the US are still on?
Absolutely. There is only one game in town. In February I am going to lead a big delegation to the us to argue the case for Kyoto.
How agreeable are EU members on sharing the US $410 million it promised for developing countries at the Bonn climate change conference in 2001?
I couldn’t prejudge any announcements, but I think the principle is a very good one. I think that it’s incredibly important that the developing world begins to get engaged in discussions about post-2010. Technology transfer from the North to the South is absolutely key to success in that process. At the moment in India the average person is emitting one and a half tonnes of carbon dioxide per annum. In my country, its nine tonnes per annum, in America it’s 21 tonnes per annum. We can’t possibly preach to India that you should be reducing your emissions unless we are prepared to assist them.
On science and technology
What do you think of the flight of professional jobs to India?
Everybody has to worry about the local economy. At the same time we have to take a bigger view. The British government is very keen to see capacity building between the North and South. If we want the world to be a safer place to live in, then we have to have the developing world economy growing. So, I perso nally welcome the process. The uk has to live by its wits. We have to accept the globalisation of the economy just as India, because there are benefits to both of us. It is an economic thing. What it means is that we have to focus on the high-tech side of our economy in order to keep us afloat. We are strong in science, engineering and technology. That is where we can compete.
If we take indicators of science and technology, the UK figures behind the G-8 average. Is it a worrying factor?
I don’t know which figures are you are looking at. In terms of the citation and paper published, the uk is just below the us as of now. From the point of view of research produced per euro or per pound, we are the highest in the world. Canada and the uk share the highest position. These indicators are looking very good. If you look at how much money Britain attracts from the eu framework programmes, it is more than any other eu partner, which means that the quality of our science is very good.
I think your question is directed at the fact that our investment in research and development in industry is not high. That is something we are now trying to address. Actually, it is happening now. Look at the region of Cambridge. About 50,000 people are employed in high-tech companies that have come up there, generating a large income to the country. Those companies have not yet grown to the size of an ibm. But I would put my money on them.
What about reverse brain drain and the erosion in the quality of science education?
It is a major concern for the us not so for the uk. The number of foreign-born people employed in the us industry at the PhD level is close to 50 per cent. This indicates a massive shortfall of skilled people in science, engineering and technology. We do not have that degree of shortfall.
But is it a problem? Yes it is. If we look at registrations for degrees in science, engineering and technology, year on year they are decreasing. This is also true for all our g-7 partners. So, it is a major problem of the developed countries. I think it is the biggest problem we face today in terms of future wealth creation opportunities. Will we be able to keep the young people coming in to fuel the engine of the technological future that we have? We are focussing a lot of energy on the situation, to try and turn the problem around.
On genetically modified food
The results of trials on GM food in the UK are out. There are complaints: two of the three trial crops depend on government price support; the focus was herbicide manufacturers and not the farmer. Are government/industry an unholy alliance?
The trials that were held in the uk are the most extensive yet conducted in the world, with a focus on the effect of farming management practice
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