Future impacts of environmental factors on achieving the SDG target on child mortality: a synergistic assessment

An estimated 26% of current global child deaths is attributable to diverse and modifiable environmental factors, addressed under multiple Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs). This study assesses future child mortality reductions from achieving environment-focused SDG targets. It uses projections of environmental health-risk factors from the IMAGE 3.0 Integrated Assessment Model, based on the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSPs), linked to a standard multi-state health model (GISMO), distinguishing risk factors, disease occurrence and cause-specific death.

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