Greenhouse gas mitigation scenarios for major emitting countries

Emissions under current policies in the group of countries analysed are projected to reach 36.2-41.8 GtCO2e by 2030, which corresponds to a change between -4% and +11% compared to 2019, pre-pandemic levels. This finding suggests that countries remain far off track to meet the collective goals of the Paris Agreement, which require emissions to be 43% below 2019 levels by 2030. Additionally, the Paris Agreement stated the aim of reaching a global peaking of emissions as soon as possible. This has not happened before 2020 and is not projected to happen before 2025, which is needed to keep the long-term goals of the Paris Agreement according with the latest scientific consensus.

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