Regional economic outlook for Asia and Pacific: steady growth amid diverging prospects

Growth in Asia and the Pacific outperformed expectations in late 2023, reaching 5.0 percent for the year. Inflation has continued to decline, albeit at varying speeds: some economies are still seeing sustained price pressures, while others are facing deflationary risks.In 2024, growth is projected to slow modestly to 4.5 percent. …

Socio-economic footprint of the energy transition: Southeast Asia

This report explores the potential socio-economic impacts of the energy transition in Southeast Asia. It shows that an ambitious energy transition will deliver a broad range of beneficial socio-economic outcomes for the region. Southeast Asia has witnessed impressive economic growth in the past three decades. Its gross domestic product (GDP), …

North Africa economic outlook 2023

North African countries are projected to see a slight increase in economic growth to 4.6 percent in 2023 and 4.4 percent in 2024, and should make green growth an urgent priority, according to the African Development Bank. According to the Bank Group, growth in the region is essentially driven by …

Cash transfers in the context of energy subsidy reform: insights from recent experience

Energy subsidies, which have a long history of use by governments around the world, have been rising in recent years after a brief period of decline. Despite their significant wider costs, subsidies are used by governments for various policy, and political reasons. Faced with recent external shocks, governments around the …

Seizing the moment: targeting transformative disaster risk resilience - Asia-Pacific disaster report 2023

The Asia-Pacific region has a narrow window to increase its resilience and protect its hard-won development gains from the socioeconomic impacts of climate change, according to this latest report by the United Nations Economic and Social Commission for Asia and the Pacific (ESCAP). In the absence of immediate action, temperature …

Third Gambia economic update: accelerating financial inclusion to unleash the Gambia’s growth potential

The Gambia’s economy continued to recover in 2022, albeit at a subdued pace in a sluggish global economic environment. Real GDP increased by 4.3 percent (1.8 percent in per capita terms) in 2022, unchanged from 2021, when economic growth was recovering from the COVID-19 pandemic following a sharp deceleration to …

Liberia economic update: getting rice right for productivity and poverty alleviation

In the last two years, Liberia’s economic performance has improved. Inflation remained in single digits despite high global food and fuel prices and a relaxation in monetary and fiscal policies. Liberia’s poverty rate is projected to have declined slightly in the last two years as GDP growth rebounds and inflation …

Cabo Verde economic update: climate-related shocks and fiscal sustainability - potential impacts and policy options

Real GDP expanded by 17.7 percent in 2022, with per capita incomes surpassing the pre-pandemic levels. On the supply side, accommodation, transport, and commerce explained 60 percent of growth. On the demand side, exports (mainly tourism) and private consumption accounted for growth. The rebound in economic activity in 2022 was …

OECD-FAO agricultural outlook 2023-2032

Global agricultural and food production are projected to continue to increase over the next ten years, but at a slower pace of growth than the previous decade due to demographic trends, according to this report released by the Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations (FAO) and the Organisation …

Nigeria development update: seizing the opportunity

The new administration has initiated critical reforms to address macroeconomic imbalances. This window of opportunity could have a transformative impact on the lives of millions of Nigerians and establish a solid foundation for sustainable and inclusive growth. The removal of the petrol subsidy and foreign exchange (FX) management reforms are …

The state of commodity dependence 2023

A country is dependent on the export of commodities (or “commodity-dependent”) when its merchandise exports are heavily concentrated on primary commodities. The source of commodity dependence can be linked to a country’s persistent or structural conditions, such as its resource endowment and factor composition, institutional framework, geographic situation, history among …

Gabon economic update: reforming fossil fuel subsidies

The Gabon Economic Update is an annual World Bank publication that presents an overview of the evolving macroeconomic position in Gabon, followed by a detailed exploration of a specific topic in each edition. The first chapter analyzes recent economic developments, as well as the macroeconomic outlook and risks for Gabon’s …

Empowering subnational approaches through multilateralism to combat climate change

Dialogues on climate issues, including the various multilateral agreements, have largely been driven by traditional state-to-state diplomacy. Nevertheless, over the years, new diplomatic players, such as cities, public institutions, and other subnational entities, are gaining significant importance in climate diplomacy, and have brought forward ambitious commitments. Still, the United Nations …

Global decarbonization in fossil fuel export-dependent economies

This paper takes a closer look at the potentially huge economic and fiscal transition costs of global decarbonization in fossil fuel export-dependent economies. The paper identifies 40 heavily fossil fuel dependent economies. It is estimated that these countries will lose more than 60 percent in oil rents alone during the …

Kenya economic update: securing growth - opportunities for Kenya in a decarbonizing world

With a GDP growth at 4.8 percent in 2022, economic performance softened after the strong rebound from the COVID-19 crisis at 7.5 percent in 2021. The growth rate, however, has remained in line with Kenya’s long-term growth trajectory, even though the economy faced challenging global financial conditions, fuel, and food …

Climate change, economic production, inequality, and poverty

This paper seeks to fill the gap with regard to the quantification of the impact of climate change on future levels of poverty across different income thresholds and scenarios. Climate change is widely understood to be a significant driver of future patterns of human well-being, with numerous studies concluding that …

Status of mortality and economic losses due to weather, climate and water extremes (1970-2021)

Over two million deaths and $4.3 trillion in economic losses; that’s the impact of a half-century of extreme weather events turbo-charged by man-made global warming, according to this new figure from the World Meteorological Organization (WMO). Extreme weather, climate and water-related events caused 11 778 reported disasters between 1970 and …

Electric mobility and power systems: impacts and mitigation strategies in Developing Countries

The transition to electric mobility (E-Mobility) represents a complex and multifaceted challenge for power systems that will require a range of solutions and approaches to address. Much of the literature covering this subject takes the perspective of higher-income countries. This report addresses the technical dimension of the challenge in the …

Regional economic outlook for Asia and Pacific 2023

Asia and the Pacific remains a dynamic region despite the somber backdrop of what looks to be shaping up as a challenging year for the world economy. Global growth is poised to decelerate as rising interest rates and Russia’s war in Ukraine weigh on activity. Inflation remains stubbornly high, and …

Indonesia poverty assessment: pathways towards economic security

Indonesia can build on its impressive track-record of poverty reduction to tackle more ambitious poverty reduction targets. Indonesia has made impressive gains in reducing poverty, with previously lagging regions catching up, and the Government’s goal to eliminate extreme poverty by 2024 practically met. As an aspiring upper middle-income country, however, …

Social innovations in urban sanitation in India

This book discusses effective social innovation strategies facilitated by civil society organisations (CSOs) to tackle India’s significant urban sanitation challenge. It presents the contours of an ecosystem that includes citizen participation and strengthening community-managed systems for improved sanitation and public health. The book analyses case studies of effective sanitation programmes …

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