The International Organization for Migration (IOM) launched the World Migration Report 2024, which reveals significant shifts in global migration patterns, including a record number of displaced people and a major increase in international remittances. The report highlights that international migration remains a driver of human development and economic growth, highlighted …
Weather forecasting generates significant societal benefits, which can be increased by improving accuracy and lead-time through better meteorological monitoring, modeling and computing. Forecasting relies on numerical weather prediction (NWP), which is significantly impacted by the availability of meteorological observations, with space-based observations being the most important. Surface-based observations also contribute …
An integrated modeling approach for simulating flood events is presented in the current study. An advanced flood forecasting model, which is based on the coupling of hydrological and atmospheric components, was used for a twofold objective: first to investigate the potential of a coupled hydrometeorological model to be used for …
Extreme slip at shallow depths on subduction zone faults is a primary contributor to tsunami generation by earthquakes. Improving earthquake and tsunami risk assessment requires understanding the material and structural conditions that favor earthquake propagation to the trench. We use new biomarker thermal maturity indicators to identify seismic faults in …
A new combined drought indicator (CDI) is proposed that integrates rainfall, soil moisture and vegetation dynamics. The performance of this indicator was evaluated against crop damage data from agricultural insurance schemes in five different areas in SW Spain. Results show that this indicator was able to predict important droughts in …
Surface water floods (SWFs) that lead to household losses are mainly localized phenomena. Research on describing the associated precipitation characteristics has previously been based on case studies and on the derivation of local rainfall thresholds, but no approaches have yet been presented on the national scale. Here, we propose a …
Japan’s weather bureau on Wednesday said the El Nino weather pattern appeared to be continuing, with an 80 percent chance it would stretch into the northern hemisphere summer. El Nino is a warming of ocean surface temperatures in the eastern and central Pacific that typically happens every few years, sometimes …
Making sure that important weather and climate information reaches everyone is critical for local development – as demonstrated by a WISER (Weather and Climate Information Services for Africa) project in Western Kenya. From its rain-soaked hills to the sweeping Masai Mara, Western Kenya has a vast and varied landscape. But …
Peter Alisengawa, a farmer in Namungwale village in eastern Uganda, was struggling to grow enough maize to support his family a few years ago. Despite getting regular advice through his local cooperative, he could not afford to act on it. "Without money, you can do nothing," he said. "They were …
The purpose of this study is to propose the Bayesian Network (BN) model to estimate flood peak from Atmospheric Ensemble Forecasts (AEFs). The Weather Research and Forecasting model was used to simulate historic storms using five cumulus parameterization schemes. The BN model was trained to forecast flood peak from AEFs. …
The World Bank has set aside 5.08 trillion ($50 billion) to tackle challenges posed by climate change around the world over the next five years. The financing level, an average of $10 billion (Sh1 trillion) a year, is more than double what the global lender allocated during financial years 2015-18. …
While the IMD had prior to the winter season said temperatures are likely to be “slightly above normal”, a senior official at the Ministry of Earth Sciences clarified that the IMD had predicted an average for the entire season and the prevailing cold wave was a normal occurrence during the …
There is a 70-75 per cent chance of the El Niño weather pattern emerging during the northern hemisphere winter this year, a U.S. government weather forecaster said on Thursday. The pattern is expected to continue through the winter of 2018-19, the National Weather Service's Climate Prediction Center (CPC) said in …
Agriculture is one of the sectors that has greatly benefitted from the establishment of climate services. In Colombia, interannual climate variability can disrupt agricultural production, lower farmers' incomes and increase market prices. Increasing demand thus exists for agro-climatic services in the country. Fulfilling such demand requires robust and consistent approaches …
As the summer planting season approaches in eastern Zimbabwe, small-scale farmers struggle with familiar questions: When will the rains come, and when should I sow my crops? This year something else is keeping them awake: In late August the government issued a warning about a potential El Niño weather pattern, …
There's a 70% chance of a recurrence of the El Niño weather event before the end of this year, according to the World Meteorological Organisation. The last El Niño occurred in 2015-16 and impacted weather patterns around the world. Researchers say they are not expecting this new one to be …
(Reuters) - The El Niño weather pattern has a 60 percent chance of emerging during the northern hemisphere fall of 2018, with the chances increasing to 70 percent during the subsequent winter, a U.S. government weather forecaster said on Thursday. The last El Niño, a warming of ocean surface temperatures …
Japan’s weather bureau said on Friday there is a 60 percent chance that an El Niño weather pattern could emerge during the northern hemisphere autumn, from September to November. The Japan Meteorological Agency also said there was a 70 percent chance of normal weather patterns during the summer season, without …
Japan is expected to see warmer weather between August and October, the country’s official forecaster said on Wednesday. Eastern Japan, including the most densely populated Tokyo, has a 40 percent chance of high temperatures for the period, the Japan Meteorological Agency said in its monthly three-month forecast. The following table …
JOHANNESBURG (Reuters) - The South African Weather Service said on Tuesday the likelihood of an El Nino weather pattern was increasing as the country moved toward spring, which normally starts in September, but it was too early to determine the potential impact. The last El Nino was linked to a …
The tropical cyclone Dineo made landfall over southern Mozambique on 15 February 2017. It weakened to a remnant low on 17 February, which hit Botswana on the same day and triggered heavy rainfall that resulted in flooding over the country. This study assesses the performance of the National Centers for …
