Weather Predictions

World migration report 2024

The International Organization for Migration (IOM) launched the World Migration Report 2024, which reveals significant shifts in global migration patterns, including a record number of displaced people and a major increase in international remittances. The report highlights that international migration remains a driver of human development and economic growth, highlighted …

Study Says Moisture can Affect Upper Atmospheric Winds

BENGALURU: Variations in atmospheric moisture can influence winds blowing in the higher reaches of the atmosphere, according to a study by Indian Institute of Science (IISc) researchers. Winds circulating in the upper atmosphere, called Rossby waves, play a major role in the development of weather. One of the reasons why …

El Nino strongest since super event of 1997-98 and intensifying, BoM says

The powerful El Nino continues to intensify in the Pacific and is now the strongest since the record-breaking 1997-98 event, the Bureau of Meteorology said. Weekly surface readings in a closely watched Pacific equatorial zone known as Nino3.4 exceeded 2 degrees at the end of August for the first time …

India's monsoon rains seen falling short of previous forecast

India's monsoon rains are likely to be below the prior forecast of 88 percent of the long-term average, the weather office chief said, which could make it the driest year since 2009 and worsen rural distress by cutting farm output. The July-September rains irrigate nearly half of India's farmlands, bringing …

Prediction of Indian rainfall during the summer monsoon season on the basis of links with equatorial Pacific and Indian Ocean climate indices

Interannual variation of Indian summer monsoon rainfall (ISMR) is linked to El Niño-Southern oscillation (ENSO) as well as the Equatorial Indian Ocean oscillation (EQUINOO) with the link with the seasonal value of the ENSO index being stronger than that with the EQUINOO index. We show that the variation of a …

In fact: El Nino wins, IMD gets the consolation prize

In the end, the Madden Julian Oscillation and Indian Ocean Dipole failed to cancel out the warming of the Pacific — a situation the Met Office had predicted as early as in April, giving govts time to prepare. In June, a rain-bearing weather phenomenon called Madden Julian Oscillation, or MJO, …

New NASA project to help monitor Earth’s environment

A new NASA joint project will provide timely weather, climate and other Earth related data to five countries in Southeast Asia, enabling them to better address issues of natural resource and disaster management. NASA and the US Agency for International Development (USAID) have launched SERVIR-Mekong project to strengthen regional environmental …

Flurry of tropical cyclones give super El Nino another boost

The hyperactive hurricane season in the Pacific has jumped up another gear, spawning a record trio of category 4 strength tropical storms that will give the powerful El Nino event yet another boost. Hurricanes Kilo and Ignacio were to the west and east of the Hawaii Islands on Monday, while …

Australia weather bureau says 2015 El Nino is the strongest since 1997–98

The Australian Bureau of Meteorology said the recently emerged El Nino is now the strongest such event in nearly 20 years. Tropical Pacific Ocean temperature anomalies are at the highest levels since the El Nino that occurred between 1997 and 1998, the Australian climate bureau said on Tuesday. The Australian …

Japan to see average to warmer weather during September-November

Japan will see mostly average to warmer weather from September to November, the official forecaster said on Tuesday. Eastern Japan, including the most densely populated Tokyo area, will have a 50% chance of higher-than-average temperatures for the period, the Japan Meteorological Agency said in its monthly three-month forecast.

Peru bows out of 2016 Dakar Rally due to 'El Nino'

Peru Monday announced it is withdrawing as host of the 2016 Dakar Rally "due to concerns about the El Nino weather phenomenon," state news agency Andina reported. Peru's Ministry of Foreign Trade and Tourism issued a statement saying the government was cancelling its participation in both the 2015 Desafio Inca …

Kenya: El Nino 'Won't Be As Bad' as 1997

The weatherman confirms a big El Nino will hit Kenya but says it is unlikely to unleash the fury and destruction of 1997. Meteorological services director James Kongoti yesterday said there is a greater than 90 per cent chance El Nino will continue through to the short rains. He said …

Scaling success - Lessons from adaptation pilots in the rainfed regions of India

As climate change threatens India’s food security, adaptation in the agriculture sector is becoming increasingly important. However, for too long, adaptation has been characterized by individual efforts and by small, time-bound pilot projects. Although these projects often have a strong grassroots focus, their capacity to benefit larger populations and to …

Butterfly Effect' New Model To Help With Reliability Of Future Forecasts

Did you know that a butterfly simply flapping its wings can change the course of weather patterns? It's known as the "butterfly effect," and it can seriously disrupt the reliability of weather forecasts--sometimes for up to 10 days, with strong fluctuations in temperatures. "This natural tendency to return to a …

A 'Great Gozilla' El Nino in prospect, but forecasters remain wary of impacts

This year's El Nino weather pattern could be the most powerful on record, US forecasters said, while warning that the effects of the weather system are never certain. "We're predicting this El Nino could be among the strongest El Ninos in the historical record," said Mike Halpert, deputy director of …

Another El Niño sign: Ocean temps hit highest level of the year

In another sign that El Niño is gaining strength and could soak California this winter, sea surface temperatures in the Pacific Ocean have increased to their highest level so far this year. That temperature increase — 3.4 degrees Fahrenheit above the average — was recorded Aug. 5 by the National …

El Nino has emerged and expected to strengthen: Australian weather bureau

An El Nino is now well established and continues to strengthen, the Australian Bureau of Meteorology (BOM) said, with models indicating that sea-surface temperature anomalies in the central Pacific Ocean are set to climb to the highest in 19 years. The El Nino, marked by a warming of sea-surface temperatures …

Skymet may revise monsoon forecast again; June-July predictions off the mark

Skymet Weather Services, a private agency, may revise its monsoon forecast again this month after its July prediction turned out to be off the mark and rainfall in June was higher than estimated. "We will take a call on how the season will be if there is a major deviation …

Assessment of people s perceptions and adaptations to climate change and variability in mid-hills of Himachal Pradesh, India

A study based on farm household survey was conducted in mid-hills of Himachal Pradesh to gain insights on people s perceptions and adaptations to climate change and variability. Results of the study indicated that 88.9 % of people perceived rise in temperature of the region while 88.4 % perceived a …

El Niño Could Bring Extreme Weather, Fewer Anchovies

Warmer-than-usual water in parts of the Pacific Ocean indicates that a developing El Niño is intensifying and might become one of the strongest on record. And National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration scientists think the weather phenomenon probably will continue through the winter of 2015-16, and into the spring of 2016. …

El Niño contributing to 'monsoon on steroids' behind Southland's humid weather

California is experiencing a particularly muggy, sticky summer, and some experts say rising ocean temperatures are at least partly to blame. Record-high sea temperatures off the Mexican and Central American coast are supercharging moist air moving from Mexico into California, some scientists say, dousing us with weather that seems more …

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