Weather Predictions

World migration report 2024

The International Organization for Migration (IOM) launched the World Migration Report 2024, which reveals significant shifts in global migration patterns, including a record number of displaced people and a major increase in international remittances. The report highlights that international migration remains a driver of human development and economic growth, highlighted …

NASA launches climate change-observing satellite on third try

Amid growing concern about global weather patterns, a rocket roared into space Saturday carrying a NASA satellite that will give scientists new tools to forecast weather, track drought and monitor climate change. The liftoff from Vandenberg Air Force Base in Southern California was the third attempt to launch the craft. …

Monsoon 2014: a report

This report discusses operational monitoring and forecasting aspects of the 2014 southwest monsoon. Analysis of various monsoon features, such as progress of the monsoon, semi-permanent and transient weather systems, rainfall distribution etc. have been presented. Potential regional and global climate anomaly patterns responsible for the observed rainfall features have been …

Vulnerable India

Vulnerable India - Mainstreaming adaptation and building resilience, presentation by Chandra Bhushan at Centre for Science and Environment (CSE) book launch of Rising to the Call - Good Practices of Climate Change Adaptation in India at IHC, New Delhi.

Agro-Met advisories- Helping farmers stay ahead in the weather game : Experiences from the field

Agro-Met Advisories- Helping Farmers Stay Ahead in the Weather Game, presentation given at Centre for Science and Environment (CSE) book launch of Rising to the Call - Good Practices of Climate Change Adaptation in India at IHC, New Delhi.

Validating atmospheric reanalysis data using tropical cyclones as thermometers

Tropical cyclones are used as travelling thermometers to globally sample upper-tropospheric temperatures and help mitigate uncertainties due to discrepancies among different reanalysis data products.

Climate Change 2014 - Impacts, Adaptation and Vulnerability (Part A: Global and Sectoral Aspects)

Climate Change 2014: Impacts,Adaptation, and Vulnerability is the second volume of the Fifth Assessment Report (AR5) of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) — Climate Change 2013/2014 — and was prepared by its Working Group II. The volume focuses on why climate change matters and is organized into two …

U.S. weather forecaster says El Niño expected to begin in one-two months

The El Niño weather phenomenon is expected to occur in the next 1-2 months and last into next spring in the Northern Hemisphere, though it will likely be weak, the Climate Prediction Center (CPC) agency of the National Weather Service said on Thursday. While the forecast marks the strongest prediction …

High-tech Himawari-8 weather satellite launched

TANEGASHIMA, KAGOSHIMA PREF. – A satellite was launched Tuesday from the Tanegashima Space Center in Kagoshima Prefecture in a bid to improve the accuracy of weather forecasts related to natural disasters. The Himawari-8 weather satellite soared aloft aboard an H-IIA rocket at 2:16 p.m. It was expected to be placed …

Rainfall prediction with TLBO optimized ANN

Rainfall prediction is very crucial for India as its economy is based on mainly agriculture. The parameters that are required to predict the rainfall are very complex in nature and also contain lots of uncertainties. Although various approaches have been earlier suggested for prediction, the soft computing is found to …

J&K to get flood forecast system in 2 years

CWC chief says 10 stations are being planned in the State The Central Water Commission (CWC), at present, can generate only a quick and ready assessment of an impending flood in Srinagar based on rainfall data. CWC Chairperson Ashwin Pandya says it will take two years to establish a proper …

Rainfall distributions in Sri Lanka in time and space: An analysis based on daily rainfall data

Daily rainfall totals are analyzed for the main agro-climatic zones of Sri Lanka for the period 1976–2006. The emphasis is on daily rainfall rather than on longer-period totals, in particular the number of daily falls exceeding given threshold totals. For one station (Mapalana), where a complete daily series is available …

Using constructed analogs to improve the skill of National Multi-Model Ensemble March–April–May precipitation forecasts in equatorial East Africa

In this study we implement and evaluate a simple 'hybrid' forecast approach that uses constructed analogs (CA) to improve the National Multi-Model Ensemble's (NMME) March–April–May (MAM) precipitation forecasts over equatorial eastern Africa (hereafter referred to as EA, 2°S to 8°N and 36°E to 46°E). Due to recent declines in MAM …

Spatial-temporal variation and prediction of rainfall in Northeastern Nigeria

In Northeastern Nigeria seasonal rainfall is critical for the availability of water for domestic use through surface and sub-surface recharge and agricultural production, which is mostly rain fed. Variability in rainfall over the last 60 years is the main cause for crop failure and water scarcity in the region, particularly, …

El Niño Formation a Possibility in Winter

FORECAST Indian meteorologists say it was unlikely to make a huge impact on the Indian weather The Australian Met department, in its latest outlook of El Nino, has said that there’s a 50% chance of the weather pattern developing in the next few months. “The majority of international climate models …

Scaling up climate services for farmers: mission possible - learning from good practice in Africa and South Asia

This report presents lessons learned from 18 case studies across Africa and South Asia that have developed and delivered weather and climate information and related advisory services for smallholder farmers. The case studies and resulting lessons provide insights on what will be needed to build effective national systems for the …

Assessment of India's agro-meteorological advisory service from a farmer perspective

This report summarizes the results of the CGIAR Research Program on Climate Change, Agriculture and Food Security (CCAFS) commissioned evaluation of India’s Integrated Agro-meteorological Advisory Service (AAS). Conducted June-July of 2012, this assessment was a joint endeavour of CCAFS, the International Crops Research Institute for the Semi-Arid Tropics, and the …

Renewed signs of an El Nino event in 2014

An El Nino remains a possibility in 2014 after renewed signs of the weather event were detected in the Pacific, according to the Bureau of Meteorology. The normally easterly trade winds have weakened in the past two weeks and temperatures are again picking up in a broad region of the …

Japan reduces chance of El Nino weather pattern this year

Japan's weather bureau said on Monday it sees less chance of an El Nino weather pattern forming later this year than it previously forecast. In a monthly online bulletin, the Japan Meteorological Agency said it sees a 50 percent chance of an El Nino, which is often linked to heavy …

Sydney weather: Warm July but threat of El Nino recedes

The threat of an El Nino weather event is receding with atmospheric conditions over the Pacific largely failing to respond to warming ocean waters, the Bureau of Meteorology. The chances of an El Nino, which typically bring warmer-than-average temperatures to Australia and south-east Asia and lower rainfall, are now about …

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