The global mean temperature in 2022 was 1.15 degrees Celsius above the pre-industrial (1850-1900) average, making it the "fifth or sixth" warmest year on record despite the La Nina conditions, the World Meteorological Organisation (WMO) said in this report. From mountain peaks to ocean depths, climate change continued its advance …
This brief explores the climatic and food security outcomes of positive and negative El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) and Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) phase alignment in different rainfall zones in Ethiopia, since 2000. During this time there have been two positive (El Niño and positive IOD) and two negative (La Niña …
Global temperatures are likely to surge to record levels in the next five years, fuelled by heat-trapping greenhouse gases and a naturally occurring El Niño event, according to this new update issued by the World Meteorological Organization (WMO). There is a 66% likelihood that the annual average near-surface global temperature …
Skymet, India's leading weather forecasting and agriculture risk solution company, has released its monsoon forecast for 2023. Skymet expects the upcoming monsoon to be 'below normal' to the tune of 94% (with an error margin of +/-5%) of the long-period average (LPA) of 868.6 mm for the 4-month long period …
This report’s purpose is to help Vietnam policy makers and stakeholders prepare for future El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) events. It does this by providing information on ENSO’s agricultural, economic, and poverty impacts in Vietnam and outlining ways forward. The report finds that ENSO’s impacts vary from region to region and …
The purpose of this report is to improve the Philippines’ preparedness for the El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) by informing stakeholders of ENSO’s agricultural and economic impacts. The report finds that ENSO has detrimental impacts on the Philippine people, economy, poverty levels, and agricultural sector. The country has taken actions and …
The purpose of this report is to help Cambodia’s policy makers and stakeholders prepare for future El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) events. It does this by providing information on ENSO’s poverty, economic, and agricultural impacts in Cambodia and outlining ways forward. The report finds that ENSO’s impacts vary from region to …
This report’s aim is to raise awareness on El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) events among Myanmar’s policy makers and stakeholders. Particularly, the aim is to guide them on preparedness and resiliency building measures. It does this by providing information on ENSO’s social, poverty, economic, and agricultural impacts in Myanmar and outlining …
El Niño is a local warming of surface waters that takes place in the entire equatorial zone of the central and eastern Pacific Ocean of the Peruvian coast and which affects the atmospheric circulation worldwide. La Niña refers to the cold equivalent of El Niño. El Niño and La Niña …
This report’s purpose is to help Lao policy makers and stakeholders prepare for future El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) events. It does this by providing information on ENSO’s poverty, economic, and agricultural impacts in Lao PDR and outlining ways forward. The report finds that ENSO’s impacts vary from region to region …
There is a 75-80% chance of an El Niño developing by February 2019, although it is not expected to be a strong event, according to the latest update from the World Meteorological Organization (WMO). Sea surface temperatures are already at weak El Niño levels in part of the tropical Pacific, …
This report assesses food security early warning systems (EWS) to improve food security and resilience in eastern and southern Africa. It aims to assess bottlenecks and opportunities for improving food security EWS for enhanced resilience in East and Southern Africa (ESA). Disasters caused by climate extremes such as tropical cyclones …
This paper shares key lessons on the use of weather forecasting, learned from the 2016–2017 drought across the Horn of Africa that contributed to failed harvests, extensive livestock deaths and food insecurity. Key informant interviews conducted with humanitarian and development actors, donors and forecasters in Ethiopia and Kenya reveal lessons …
Nearly eleven million people in Kenya, Ethiopia and Somalia are dangerously hungry and in need of humanitarian assistance. The worst drought-affected areas in Somalia are on the brink of famine. There is growing scientific analysis suggesting that the impacts of current and recent droughts in East Africa are likely to …
Some 153 million people, representing about 26 percent of the population above 15 years of age in sub-Saharan Africa, suffered from severe food insecurity in 2014-15, according to a new FAO report. The second edition of the Regional Overview of Food Insecurity in sub-Saharan Africa (2016) underscores how severe food …
After El Niño, rainfall recovers in most of Southern Africa. The current rainfall season has seen normal to above normal rainfall for the southern half of continental Southern African Development Community region, notably Botswana, Lesotho, Namibia, south Zambia, Zimbabwe, northern South Africa, central and southern Mozambique and Swaziland. The northern …
NASA and NOAA announced today that 2016 was the hottest year on record globally - and the 3rd year in a row of record warming With a boost from El Nino, 2016 began with a bang. For eight consecutive months, January to August, the globe experienced record warm heat. With …
This report features a review of 15 countries affected by the 2015-16 El Niño and explores lessons learned. The impacts of El Niño appear in the form of droughts, floods and fires. These adverse impacts tend to recur and can, therefore be anticipated, planned for, and mitigated, if not avoided …
The Blueprint for Action (‘the Blueprint’) is a tool to support integrated, nationally-led and equity-driven plans to prepare for El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) and other climate hazards, absorbing risks without jeopardizing development gains, and informing climate-smart development plans to reduce risk. The Blueprint encourages the global, regional, national and …
The Blueprint for Action (‘the Blueprint’) is a tool to support integrated, nationally-led and equity-driven plans to prepare for El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) and other climate hazards, absorbing risks without jeopardizing development gains, and informing climate-smart development plans to reduce risk. The Blueprint encourages the global, regional, national and …
This nexus brief focuses on the phenomenon of the El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) and in particular on the 2015/2016 El Niño event, which faded out in May 2016 but has impacts and effects on environmental and societal systems that will extend well into 2017. Efficient monitoring and early warning systems …
